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that markets across Europe did not see some of the     During a period of intense volatility and competing   In terms of institutional involvement in this important
                                                  market dislocation seen in North America, where lending   forces on investment portfolios (including underlying   sector of the market, government bonds made available
                                                  markets were used to provide much needed liquidity.   ‘sell’ decisions), it would appear some of the normal   for lending were still dominated by government
                                                                                                         parameters around which these books would trade fell   institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF),
        In terms of institutional                 Government bond lending has over time moved            away in March and April, leading to these abnormal   that represented some 27% of all available supply.
        involvement in this important             towards a non-cash collateral market, where            trading profiles. One of the contributory factors here   That supply dominance was translated into an equally
                                                   borrowers collateralise loan positions with other
                                                                                                         in addition to underlying sell-offs, may well have been
                                                                                                                                                   dominant share in on-loan balances, where government
        sector of the market,                     securities. This has been especially true in Europe    a desire from some institutional lenders to reduce or   institutions and SWFs accounted for 30% of open loan
        government bonds made                     where regulation restricts the acceptance of cash      suspend some of their lending activities. Whilst we   balances at the end of June.
                                                                                                         didn’t witness the widespread withdrawal from lending
                                                  collateral securities lending (UCITs) are constrained
        available for lending were still          on investing beyond 7 days. Historically, non-cash     programmes as seen in 2007/08, this may have been a   The role of SWFs in this sector has been noted in
        dominated by government                   trades have been predominantly regulatory driven,      factor in pushing on-loan balances down in the second   previous editions, where we have remarked on the
                                                                                                         quarter of the year.
                                                  with borrowers looking to use high risk weighted
                                                                                                                                                   growing dependancy on supply and therefore liquidity
        institutions such as Sovereign            assets (RWA) such as equities, to secure HQLA                                                    provided by this community (they provided important
                                                   balance sheet friendly government bonds. When these
                                                                                                                                                   liquidity into the US Treasury market when it was
        Wealth Funds (SWF), that                  trades are combined with a term element of three                                                 needed). As regulators think more broadly about
        represented some 27% of all               months or more, the HQLA assets may be used as                                                   the lessons learnt from this crisis, the key themes of
        available supply                          part of the borrowers Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)                                             liquidity and volatility will be repeated over and over
                                                  calculation. This has meant that borrowers and to an                   5%  3% 3%                 again. It is important to understand therefore how
                                                  extent lenders, have prioritised these trades over key                                           regulators and policy makers respond to these changing
                                                  regulatory reporting dates (such as year or quarter                                              market dynamics.
        Whist we saw a significant reported outflow of   ends). In general and notwithstanding the lower
        European government bonds from lending programmes,   concentration of cash collateralised trades across this                       27%
        which is very much in line with what was happening in   market, it has tended to be these trades that have   28%
        North America, we did not see a corresponding uptick in   therefore been reduced or returned first. When we   Fig 10: Global Government Bond
        on-loan positions. The drivers behind this view are likely   examine the first half of 2020 however, we see the   Lendable Supply by Fund Type
        to be varied, but the absence of the sudden demand to   exact reversal of this trend, with cash collateralised   Source: DataLend
        borrow additional European government bonds suggests   loans remaining fairly constant over the period.                                                 10%       9%

                                                                                                                                                                                2%
                                                                                                                                        8%
        Fig 9: Global Securities Lending Government Bond Market - Cash Versus Non-Cash    Source: IHS Markit
            €320B                                                                  €880B                              26%
                                                                                                                                                      28%   Fig 11: Global Government Bonds    30%
                                                                                                                                                               On-Loan by Fund Type
         On Loan Balance vs Cash  €270B                                            €810B  On-Loan Balance vs Non-Cash  Corporations/LLP/LLC
                                                                                                           Banks/Broker Dealers
                                                                                                                                                                 Source: DataLend
                                                                                                           Foundation/Endowment
                                                                                                           Government/Sovereign Entities/Central Banks
                                                                                                           Insurance Companies
                                                                                                           Mutual/Retail Funds                                               5%
                                                                                                           Pension Plans                                        16%
            €220B                                                                  €740B
                    Jan 20     Feb 20     Mar 20     Apr 20     May 20     Jun 20                          Undisclosed/Other


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